David Yang said:

My friend who has a side hustle as a baker can't find any flour in retail outlets anymore. THANKS OBAMA HIPSTERS.

Yeah, flour is in short supply, also the wholesale price of eggs are up too. I’m gonna have to start baking with my 800 rolls of TP. 

yeast Is really hard to get as well 
sorry , btw , second loaf today , was better again 🎺🎺🎺🎺

Mark. Hit me up and maybe I can get you some yeast. I have a pound of SAF yeast which I can absolutely share some. 

File under #obv but also a sobering read. Data viz nerds brace yourselves for some horribly labeled axes...

https://medium.com/@wpegden/a-call-to-honesty-in-pandemic-modeling-5c156686a64b

Just found out that a kid my son got too close to in the park a couple weeks ago has been ill with the virus. She and her family are  just recovering. Local Fribourg, Swiss hospital told them to stay home, with no testing. But they had the symptoms. Especially the parents. Heavy chest. Loss of smell, etc. They’re young and healthy so they felt it wasn’t so bad. Kids just had cough and low fever. They stayed quarantined and in communication with the hospital. But it’s sucks that now my family might be getting it in the next week, though it looks like we may have dodged that bullet. It’s been two weeks since exposure. I tell my son to stay away from other kids (the distance of his very tall uncle), and that it’s only 5/park here. Police on bikes yesterday we’re going around lecturing families who were breaking the rules. They could have given them fines. We occupied a far and empty corner of the park and were left alone. 

I'm back at work today. The scathing letter I wrote regarding the many failures in the management structure for our group, which I felt put many of us at risk, to my Union representatives was seen and responded to. The union is having a meeting with labour relations tomorrow... 

Good - I think? Now does not seem to be the time to hold one's tongue about mismanagement and workplace safety.

Yesterday I saw that, the Army Core of Engineers are building a hospital on our campus on the athletic fields.

Eggs are being rationed so we are getting chickens.

We're getting them full grown; also, apparently Icelandic chickens eat foxes...

in my area there may be a few foxes, but it's the raccoons that slaughter chickens. My coworker setup a chicken coop, and he dug a fence into the ground to protect them at night.

We've got it all. Raccoons, foxes, ermines, lynxes, bald eagles and this guy...

https://roazen.smugmug.com/Other/Videos/n-VDrL3/i-WDGhmr2/A

We have flooring of wire mesh to try and keep out burrowing critters.

Jules said:

We've got it all. Raccoons, foxes, ermines, lynxes, bald eagles and this guy...

https://roazen.smugmug.com/Other/Videos/n-VDrL3/i-WDGhmr2/A

We have flooring of wire mesh to try and keep out burrowing critters.

dude what!?!

https://slate.com/technology/2020/04/exercise-social-distancing-running-six-feet-covid19.html

"In wide-open spaces, where people can maintain adequate space, the risk of infection is vanishingly low. But it may be slightly higher in crowded spaces where people are walking close to one another or zigzagging through one another’s paths. “I’m not going to be a false optimist and say the risk is zero,” says Dylan Morris, a Ph.D. candidate at Princeton University who co-authored a recent study about the novel coronavirus’s ability to live in the air and on different surfaces.

One major consideration is whether you can encounter virus particles in the air. The short answer is yes, in theory; Morris and his colleagues’ paper found that potentially infectious virus particles we breathe, cough, or sneeze out can remain in the air for up to three hours. That scary-sounding fact made headlines, leading many to believe infection was inevitable.

Three hours might sound like a long time, but there’s an important caveat: The density of virus particles that remain in the air isn’t necessarily enough to infect you. There’s a steep drop-off in the number of particles that remain after just an hour, says Morris, and how much virus is left after that time—or three hours, for that matter—depends on how much virus there was to begin with. The amount an infected person breathes out on, say, a casual walk around the park might not be enough to infect a passerby, but more studies are needed to understand this. Scientists are actively working to understand the minimum virus load to infect a human, says Morris."

The viral dose matters a lot more than I realized.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/01/opinion/coronavirus-viral-dose.html

Boom. or should it be Buck?

I have to admit I’ve been patchy with mask wearing, been N95ing it when grocery shopping in the wee hours, but thought just keeping to one side of sidewalk cut it when outside. Was just in Piermont. Market is open, people there maybe 1 in 10 with masks. West side bike path 3 in 10, running and on bikes—cyclists were the worst. Check this out:

“paper by Roman Wölfel and colleagues, published this week in Nature. It shows that people are most infectious in the first week after catching Covid-19. During that time they often show no or few symptoms.”

“the virus is primarily transmitted through tiny droplets of salivaejected when we speak. You can’t see them, but they are there. We also know that these droplets can go significantly further than the 6ft which is widely cited as a safe distance.

Research supported by Nobel prize-winning virologist Harold Varmus tells us that placing a layer of cloth in front of a person’s face stops 99% of the droplets.”

P.S. KCC neck scarf is a decent solution for riding.

Via this Guardian article:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/apr/04/why-wear-a-mask-may-be-our-best-weapon-to-stop-coronavirus?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

My bread making career is over , my oven broke again for about the 3rd time 
don’t buy Viking 
going to be even harder to cope now 

^ Sorry to hear Mark, I’ve been through broken oven hell, it was gutting even when you could just go eat out. Fuck.

Wait you use your ovens for stuff other than storing pots and pans???

#aznjokes

@Mark Taylor
For slot in ranges - Wolf. For built in - Gaggenau or Miele - I like the former.

NYS PAUSE extended to April 29.

https://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/news/health-and-medicine/coronavirus-blog

Guys I think we're in for a very, very long time in this shadow. 18 months would be a record for a vaccine development. Then we have to manufacture 8 billion doses and administer them.

However "flat" the curve gets by stay-at-home, the scale on the right goes to 8 billion. As soon as stay-at-home is lifted, the curve gets steep again.

TLDR; when the stay-home is lifted, do what you need to and/or go where you want to be, because stay-at-home will be back again.

Dan Reiners said:

it isn't just the perception that drivers are going faster. Speed camera citations are up 12% while vehicle miles driven are down 80%.

https://nyc.streetsblog.org/2020/04/05/speed-demons-the-scourge-of-reckless-driving-is-way-worse-than-we-thought/

Insightful, but probably more for the 'articles of interest' section, no?

No.

Because buried in the story is that the vehicle miles driven is comparing January to March.

My mistake.

HEre's advice on VeloNews in terms of whether or not you should wear a mask while riding

https://www.velonews.com/news/explainer-should-i-wear-a-mask-while-riding/

Here's a post on medium about safe-distancing while exercising.

https://medium.com/@jurgenthoelen/belgian-dutch-study-why-in-times-of-covid-19-you-can-not-walk-run-bike-close-to-each-other-a5df19c77d08

Central Park is the same way. People biking and lots of runners and walkers. Thankfully tourists on bikes are nearly non-existent right now.

@Bruce van-Schalkwyk
i went to prospect the first week , road 1 lap went home , It was obscene ,I would be as safe in a crowded bar
haven't been back since 
I have been heading to the rockaways early morning , Dolphin spotting